Sources: This election simulation game is developed by icivics has been played more than 6 million times. For now, a combination of polling, 2012 actual and pundit projectionsare considered. Finally, we adjusted the size of each demographic group by doubling census-estimated population change for voting-age citizens from 2016 to 2018. Mess around. And you are being followed. Maybe check back later! Points Shop News Labs. Illustration by Tim Lahan / for NBC News. Give speeches, go on talk shows, hire unsavory operatives, and do whatever it takes to win on election day. Each candidate comes with a modern perspective on all of the hot current issues and is ready to fight for the 2016 presidency. By Aaron Bycoffe and David Wasserman. 0.5%. Or, click on a different year to see average results for that election. Such states ranked either a solid or likely win for either party, according to the Cook Political Report have already been coloured in for Biden and Trump in the graphic below. For now, a combination of polling, 2012 actual and, The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. Ns2 network simulator feetures socks. Forum Discussion of the 2016 Presidential Election, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Gubernatorial Elections, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Congressional Elections, Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Democratic, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Republican. PDF America's Electoral Future - Brookings Institution You must have Javascript enabled to play this game. After this standardization process, we then take a mean average of these daily entries in order to present the polling average. I've preloaded the simulator with data for the 2016 U.S. presidential election and a handful of other historical 3-party races that are interesting for a variety of reasons. States shown here did not allocate all their available electoral votes to one candidate. Additional contributions from Allison McCann. Three additional faithless votes, one each in Colorado, Maine and Minnesota, were disallowed. Additional new features will be coming soon. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. In a winner-take-all state, the winner gets all the delegates regardless of vote share. FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast The split can be edited in this table. Community Hub. Walk the fine line between appealing to your base and winning a majority of the votes. In 2000, Al Gore carried just 169. Follow Race to the WH on. You are an American. The states are not interactive on the map unless the split is . Obama took 73 percent of the Asian vote in 2012, 2 points higher than his share among Latinos, and Trump could underperform past Republicans among this group. Which President's personality most closely matches yours? Ns2 network simulator feetures socks. These are the states that had a lower than 3% margin in 2016 or switched from red to blue/blue to red between 2008 and 2016. Election Simulator 2016 is the result of being fed up with the 2016 election. Under a 269-269 tie, the Constitution states that the House of Representatives decides the President. 2021 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. Top 5 Election Simulation Games[2023] - Wondershare Some states remain very likely to go to Biden or Trump because they were won by large margins in 2016, or they have voted the same way in several recent elections. However, Latino voters tend to turn out at lower rates than whites and African-Americans and are heavily concentrated in non-battleground states, such as California, New York and Texas, limiting their influence in the Electoral College. This page contains results for all recent 2016 games that have been played on The Campaign Trail. Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - 2024 Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. This simulation uses a set of assumptions based on the results of the Republican primary so far. (Defaults are from 2020), Show Map Link (for use in uselectionatlas.org forum posts only), Calculator for Another Year: Romney received just 27 percent of their votes in 2012, and Trump is in danger of faring even worse. There is also a community page thecampaigntrail on Reddit. Rep. Random. Something isn't right about this candidate. The Political Machine is a trademark of Stardock Entertainment. A majority of 270 electoral votes out of a total of 538 is needed to win, and the remaining states are up to you. Maine and Nebraska award one electoral vote to the winner of the popular vote in each congressional district and two electoral votes to the statewide winner. Clinton wins popular vote but loses Electoral College. Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream; Atlas Weblog; Election Tools. Development and design by Robin Muccari, Nigel Chiwaya, Jiachuan Wu and Sophie Andrews. The 270toWin simulator has returned for 2016, currently featuring the most likely November match-up: Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump. Whites without college degrees are the bedrock of Donald Trump's coalition: Mitt Romney carried them by more than 20 percentage points in 2012, and Trump is on pace to well exceed that showing. Best News 2023 Dove trovare peluche masha e orso cartone. Finally, the map can be populated randomly or more East-to-West, based on actual poll closing times. Create your own Click on the edit button in the title or near each candidate to edit the content Click each state to cycle through colors to determine a state's winner. Biden may be ahead in the polls, but key battlegrounds that the Democrats lost unexpectedly in 2016 could come through again for Trump. Use our simulator to build your own election result map, US election live follow all the latest updates, Tue 3 Nov 2020 16.41GMT First published on Fri 30 Oct 2020 10.20GMT, Helena Robertson, Ashley Kirk and Frank Hulley-Jones. Created by Dan Fernholz and Ric Fernholz. Special thanks to New Signature for their work on a clickable U.S. map. (Defaults are from 2020) In this game, you will make choices. WRITER / DIRECTOR : Greg Buchanan PROGRAMMERS: Cherie Davidson and Matt Nichols COMPOSER: Seb Peters ILLUSTRATOR: Adam Coburn LOGO: Anthony Gambino M ove Hide Counties Share Year: Details Code available on GitHub . Adjust the Turnout and Two-Party Vote to Simulate 2016 Presidential Election Scenarios. In states with delegates awarded by congressional district, the simulation allocates delegates in the following ranges: Due to rounding and the range of possible outcomes, individual candidates' delegate totals may sum to more than the total available delegates. Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. Build your own US election result: plot a Biden or Trump win Biden may be ahead in the polls, but key battlegrounds that the Democrats lost unexpectedly in 2016 could come through again for. All Games > Simulation Games > Election simulator. This is likely to favour the Republicans, in which case Trump would end up staying in the White House. But it's not just any ol' electoral map simulator; we made a tool that lets you also 1) jump to particular scenarios and 2) see how the states have voted in the past. Created February 25, 2021 It will take at least 270 electoral votes for a presidential candidate to win the 2020 election. a campaign assistant working to elect her candidate. Run for President of the United States as one of over a dozen presidential candidates or create your own ideal candidate. Although Asians and others (including Native Americans, Native Hawaiians and multiracial voters) made up just 5 percent of all voters in 2012, they are the fastest-growing segment of the voting-eligible population. Support|Gamepedia Wiki These scenarios are custom-built by various enthusiasts of the game. These Results are controlled 100% by the computerGet the game here: http://270soft.com/us-election-games/president-election-game-2016-infinity/ Interactive US map from jquery us-map . We then applied these estimates at the county level and used a statistical technique (called iterative proportional fitting) to fit the estimates to actual vote results before reconstructing them at the state level. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. Methodology. - The options for swing states are: Florida, Maine (at large), Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska (2nd district), New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada Indiana, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio. Non-Hisp. Sources: Edison Media Research/Mitofsky International (2004/2008/2012 exit polls); U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey (turnout rates by race/ethnicity); U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (population estimates); Cook Political Report (election results; compiled from official sources). Then adjust the sliders to see how shifts in turnout and support among different demographic groups could swing the Electoral College. Change the settings below to see how shifts in party preference and turnout by different demographic groups would affect the 2016 presidential election. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. Each state's delegation casts a single vote with a majority of 26 out of 50 needed to win. VoteFerret Election Simulation had on the election, we considered the scenario in which several of the primary major party candidates were also o cial candidates in the nal presidential election. Select a year and a candidate to find out. The Political Machine 2016 Election Manager 2016 is an abstract strategic election simulation game where you manage your ticket in an attempt to get your candidate elected to the office of President of the United States. African-Americans are consistently Democrats best demographic group. 2023-24 Election Forecast. American History USA This is also visualised in the form of. Contact us with any questions or comments. 10.5%. Not only did they give President Obama 93 percent of their votes in 2012, but their turnout surpassed that of whites. Default All Democratic All Republican All Tossup All Blank Tossup Only Tilt or Less Lean or Less Likely or Less Solid or Less 2000 Actual 2004 Actual 2008 Actual 2012 . [read full article], The Political Machine has always been a game that gets users excited for the upcoming Non-college-educated whites skew older and rural and will be 46 percent of eligible voters in 2016, down from 49 percent in 2012. We'll update the electoral vote after updating the number of electors the state gets. 3rd Party Voting: Election Simulator - Blogger One of only 5 elections (1824, 1876, 1888, 2000, 2016) where the popular vote winner was defeated Hillary Clinton first female presidential nominee of a major political party Clinton won Maine but Trump earned an electoral vote by winning the popular vote in the 2nd Congressional District. Hit the "Run Simulation" button. If it declines, Clinton will have much less room for error in key states such as Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia. The 270toWin simulator has returned for 2016, currently featuring the most likely November match-up: Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump. PDF Primary Party Candidate Simulation - faculty.etsu.edu View your games and progress over time. (Defaults are from 2020), States Choosing Electors using Congressional District Method: 2016 Presidential Election Interactive Map - 270toWin Map created by Ste Kinney-Fields. Demographic Calculator - RealClearPolitics American Election by Greg Buchanan - Itch.io In 2012, President Obama carried 257 of the 673 majority-white counties where over a third of residents ages 25 and older hold at least a bachelor's degree. Election Scenario Explorer See how changes in voter turnout and support could shift the outcome of the 2020 election. For the Bernie Sanders fans out there, we continue to maintain the Sanders vs. Trump electoral map. If any company has conducted multiple polls in the last 14 days, we average out their polling results in order to give them just one entry. The tool populates an electoral map in about 15 seconds, based on a probability set for each state. 2024 Polls Presidential Election Senate GOP Primary Dem Primary Biden Approval Rating Tracker. Dem Votes. To change a state's party, click on an individual state on the U.S. map. Colorado, Wyoming and Virgin Islands aren't holding a presidential preference vote either, but those states are included since those national convention delegates must indicate which candidate, if any, they intend to support. Presidential Election of 2016 - 270toWin Trumps unpopularity among white voters with college degrees could be his Achilles heel and Hillary Clintons salvation. Election simulator. 0.3%. USA - 2016 Presidential Election Map - YAPms Previously reliable states on both sides are now looking more competitive. No delegates are allocated for Guam, American Samoa and North Dakota because they arent holding presidential preference votes and their delegates are unbound. You will answer questions about your platform and positions, and also about your campaign strategy. It's almost here - the moment we've all been waiting for - See the Choose a county (or several) to move to a new state. It was started during the 2016 elections and now it has been updated for the 2020 election. So we built one. Choices will appear in coloured text. This game was built using Twine. YAPms 2 Beta - Discord USA 2016 Presidential Election Shortcuts F - hold down to quickly fill in districts CTRL - hold down to decrement the color Enable Simulator District Electoral College The Electoral College is the process in which the United States elects its president. On any day, we collate any polls published in the last 14 days and take a mean average of their results. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2020 presidential election. Princeton Election Consortium Electoral Map Colors indicate likelihood for a Clinton or Trump victory in each state based on current polling. The simulator is largely based on a data-driven presidential model created by JHK forecasts. Bullaburra accommodation meaning. Have fun. Voting history and 2016 margins have been retrieved from the Federal Election Commission. Clinton majority wins at least 50 percent of the vote. Sorry but an error occured. Trump win Biden. The state-by-state . US election live follow all the latest updates. Related reporting: Trump's Path to a Contested Convention . To build a baseline model of the 2020 presidential election we started with the results of the 2016 election, measuring the support for President Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by race, college education and age in each state. In the interactive graphic below, you decide which way these closer states will vote, and try to pave Joe Biden or Donald Trumps path to victory. Please enter a name, party, and color for each candidate. McMullin wins at least one electoral vote. And since that wasn't enough . Presidential Election Simulator - 270toWin The state-by-state vote share breaks down as follows: The simulation accounts for state-by-state rules as well. Reset Map Share Map You predict Joe Biden will win with 306 votes! 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Win the White House is among the seven games that were cited for excellence in 2020 by International Serious Play Awards Program. All Reviews: 4 user reviews. Aside from 1872 - death of Horace Greeley - it is the greatest number since electors began casting one vote each for president and vice president (12th Amendment, 1804). Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - Dave Leip's Atlas of U Click on this interactive map to create your own projections for the 2020 presidential race, see. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios our model thinks is possible. Skew results Democratic Republican Use Preset Result Data *Uses current state electoral vote count 1. United States 2020 Presidential Election Simulator More on that later. Take our Presidential Personality Quiz. It's very simple: Choose a 3-party presidential race from the drop -down. The Democratic incumbent, aged 79, passes on what would be a fairly easy path to a fourth term, He faces little opposition from within the Democratic Party; Possible Rematch with Donald Trump in 2024, The final Secretary of State under Donald Trump did not rule out a future campaign, It will be the 12th time Chicago has hosted the Democrats; the GOP will gather in Milwaukee for their convention in mid-July, Several other cities are holding mayoral elections or primaries, The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. There were seven faithless presidential electors. Simulation Infogram. 2020 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight 2020 Electoral College Map Presidential candidates need 270 electoral votes to win an election. White. Take our Presidential Personality Quiz. Save the election map to generate a unique link to share. Election Manager 2016 on the App Store Do you have what it takes to go down in history? You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times. For example, candidates with less than a states required minimum share of the vote receive no delegates in that state. Election simulator on Steam In most states, the winner of the popular vote gets all of the state's electoral votes. : Lesson Plan: . THE RACE TO 270 A candidate must win at least 270 electoral votesa majority of the total 538to become president. Save your map Election Manager comes with a variety of scenarios, from a recreation of the 2012 election to a four-way election between independent parties. Greetings fellow Political Junkies! View our Campaign Trail Hall of Fame. [read full article], Hard to believe there are only 6 weeks until election day! Senate Forecast Kentucky Gov Forecast. All rights reserved. Campaign Trail has been modified to support additional scenarios here (including nearly every recent election and many older ones). "The definitive 2016 election game!" - said no one. The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. See more info here. Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. The remaining states have been divided into groups using their voting history and expectations in 2020, to help you decide which way they might go. 2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight To build a baseline model of the 2020 presidential election we started with the results of the 2016 election, measuring the support for President Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by . The Simulator Returns for 2016 - 270toWin For Mac, iPad, and iPhone: About the Game Election Manager 2016 is an abstract strategic election simulation game where you manage your ticket in an attempt to get your candidate elected to the office of President of the United States. Dive in. Edited by Anna Brand. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. Johnson wins at least one electoral vote. Thank you, please check to confirm your subscription! presidents in American history. Presidential Election of 2016 - 270toWin 2016 Election Simulation: Clinton vs Trump - YouTube Nonetheless, they still factor heavily in key states, including Iowa, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Vote Share (%) Turnout (%) Rep Votes. Number of IndependentsDefault123, Election Results for 2024 - Use Simplified Version of the Electoral College Calculator. The model used here allocates the congressional district electoral votes in those states separately from the statewide electoral votes. v1.1 Included: Over a dozen new candidates, updated issues and . Battle for your spot in the White House against some of the most famous (and infamous!) Rep./Dem. Which President's personality most closely matches yours? American History USA States Choosing Electors using Winner-take-all Method: (Prefer a Simpler Version?)
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